The following excerpts
have been taken from our full
brochure (PDF format) and placed here
to enhance your understanding of the charting system that we use
to enhance our investment
discipline.
Investment
Philosophy
Conclusion
Through extensive research and analysis, we have discovered
and confidently determined that thoroughly understanding and focusing on
the clear correlation and functional relationship between earnings and
market price leads to superior investment results with a considerable
reduction in risk. It is this understanding that provides EDMP, perhaps
better than any other firm, with the knowledge of what to invest in, when
to invest, and ultimately when to sell any company for our clients' portfolios.
Earnings
and Price Correlation
An example of one of our graphs clearly illustrates the
importance of earnings. The earnings line (value line) is correlated
with the historical stock price line. On graph after graph the lines
will move in tandem. If the stock price strays away from the earnings
line (over or under), inevitably it will come back to earnings.
Investment Philosophy
The
Historical Perspective
(Learning from the Past)
From a historical perspective, (learning from the past),
we determine each company's normal historical price/earnings ratio ranges
and forecast earnings to determine expected future normal price/earnings
ratio ranges. We plot this data and produce graphs that we use to monitor
each selected stock. This creates our value line of reasonableness
that is "flagged" by our computer as it approaches value, producing a smaller
universe (20-50 companies) that our research department prioritizes its
efforts on. Therefore, though each of the companies on our larger list
are potential investment choices, we are free to concentrate only on those
choices that represent current values. We produce and disseminate these
graphs to each of our clients on each company they own. This establishes
an incredible level of communication and understanding between our
clients and our firm.
End
Result
This screening process results in a universe of approximately 250
to 300 high-quality growth stocks with common attractive fundamental
characteristics. Each selection on these lists represents a company
that we, given the proper values, would be desirous and willing
to invest in. We create comprehensive historical price, earnings,
and dividend databases for each company.
Buy Discipline
Business
Perspective Investing
To successfully invest, the professional investment advisor must have a
reliable buy discipline applied both generally and specifically. At EDMP
we refer to our strategy as "Business Perspective" investing.
We do not define value in the traditional below-book value approach. EDMP's
value concept is oriented toward allowing us to determine the historical
normal perspective, coupled with future expectations of our selections'
earnings prospects. We produce both historical normal, and future value
lines that guide our decision process. The historical realities merely
provide a perspective of value, but we make all decisions based on our
future perspective only. Graphs or pictures are produced, providing a clear
perspective of our target purchase price. Our research department's computers
track our universe of stocks and flag those that have approached our value
line, alerting us to potential buy candidates.
When
to Buy?
It is important to note that we do not make purchases based on
the pictures alone. The graphs and pictures generate a "Priority
Buy List" from our universe that activates an extensive fundamental
analysis on each company to verify and stimulate purchase. We produce
graphs and pictures of each company we purchase and disseminate
them to our clients. This provides them a perspective and clear
accountability of our firm's buying discipline.
Buying
Axiom
We will not purchase a company unless its market price is at or below
a price/earnings ratio that is equal to or less than its forecast growth
rate. (P/E is equal to or less than the expected rate of change of earnings
growth.)
Sell Discipline
When
to Sell?
EDMP recognizes that even the best companies will, from time
to time, become overpriced in the marketplace. Therefore, the successful
management of clients' assets must provide the ability to recognize overvaluation
to know when to sell a security, capture profits, and minimize risk.
We utilize the same graphs and pictures in our buy discipline that we use
in our sell discipline.
Value
Time Line
Once a company's market price deviates from our established
value line to the magnitude that it is more than two years ahead of its
earnings justified price, our computers flag them and create a "Priority
Sell List". We call this our Value Time Line (VTL). Once placed
on our "Priority Sell List" we closely monitor the security regarding price
momentum and market position. Simultaneously, we search our "Priority Buy
List" to find an equivalent company with similar characteristics to replace
it with. Special consideration is placed on equivalent dividend income
streams and other fundamentals. Generally, we do not sell a stock until
a suitable and equal replacement is found. The objective is to replace
an equal quality growth company selling at a premium P/E ratio with one
that carries a lower (safer) P/E valuation. This tactic both significantly
reduces risk and enhances future potential return, while maintaining
portfolio integrity.
Selling
Axiom
Providing a replacement exists, we flag a security for a
potential sell when its market price rises to the extent that it is two
years or more ahead of its earnings justified level (Value Time Line -
VTL).
EDMP, Inc. Historical
Graphs/Charts
Historical
Perspective -"Learning from the Past"
SAMPLE CLIENT HISTORICAL GRAPHS AND CHARTS (sent to clients quarterly)
LEGEND:
EPS = Earnings Per Share
Change/Yr = The Annual Rate of Change of Earnings Growth
DIV = Dividends Per Share
E = estimated values
The above historical graph is presented for perspective only. Its
primary purpose is to illustrate the strong correlation and functional
relationship between earnings and market price (in the long-run).
Ten
Year Results -Capital Appreciation and Dividends
Growing
Earnings Produce Growing Dividends Called Growth Yield
EDMP, Inc. Forecast
Graph
Earnings
Forecast
SAMPLE CLIENT FORECAST GRAPH
(Updated and sent to clients quarterly):
No buy or sell decisions are made based on these graphs alone.
We produce these graphs to provide a perspective of our expectations
of a company's future performance. The graphs are only used after
an extensive and comprehensive fundamental analysis has been prepared.
We will not purchase a company unless its price is at or below
our value corridor. We do not try to find tops or bottoms. Our goal
is to make reliable long-term value purchases (buy discipline).
The value corridor also lets us make objective sell decisions (sell
discipline - VTL).
Our earnings line (eGR) is the result of consensus forecasts obtained
from leading analysts and our own in-house research. From our earnings
line (eGR) we add a plus and minus 10% deviation for error, creating our
value corridor. We constantly monitor and adjust these lines to remain
current (no surprises). Any changes will be noted and updated each quarter.
These graphs allow our clients' and their advisors to visually recognize
our future estimated target prices.
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